The self-proclaimed Climate Prophets who claim they can
predict climate years in advance are either deliberately lying or
incredibly stupid. Weather related scientists don't know
enough about the factors that control daily weather to make
more than approximate predictions of short term weather.
How can anyone believe weather scientists can accurately predict
weather decades in advance?
If you look at a Weather Bureau forecast you will notice that if it
predicts the possibility of rain the prediction will show the
probability of rain as a percentage. The probability of
rain might by 20% or maybe 60%. Meteorologists know rain
can occur under various conditions. The percentage
figure indicates how often it will rain when the conditions are like
the conditions predicted for that day
The forecast page will show daily forecasts for a week. If you
check the daily forecast you may notice that the daily
forecast for a specific day may change as the week progresses.
For example, on Saturday you start checking on the forecast
for the next Friday and the notice the forecast temperature is 80 F
with a 20% chance of rain. The next day the forecast might
change to 75 F and a 30% chance of rain. On Tuesday the temperature
forecast might change back to 80 F with no rain prediction. On
Thursday the Friday temperature forecast might drop to 70 F
with a 40% chance of rain.
Meteorologists' forecasts are more accurate than they were 50 years
ago and we are far less likely to have to shovel three inches of
"party cloudy" off the sidewalk. Forecasts still aren't
perfect, but computers can help process the data.
Programmers work to improve the accuracy of their models as more
data is collected.
The computer programs the Climate Prophets use are of no value
because they cannot be tested for accuracy against data.that
won't exist for years.
Most people don't understand that scientists are the original
Western Civilization con artists. Early "scientists" got money
from wealthy nobles by claiming to be working on a way to convert
lead into gold. Scientists know other scientists cannot be
trusted. Science magazines adopted a peer review process
to reduce fraud. Unfortunately. this process is no
longer working.
Horace Freeland Judson in his book "The
Great Betrayal", "sketches science as a fortress rising
out of the mists, focused solely on defending and enriching itself.
It might pretend to worship the Goddess Truth but inside, out of
sight, it is the God Mammon who is lusted after."
The Climate Prophets pursue checkbook science. The
person with the checkbook decides what "science" says. The
Prophets can predict anything they want because they know by
the time the future gets here people will have forgotten what the
prediction was.
this is contemporary conservativism: a janitor sneering in contempt at scientists.
ReplyDeletewe're going to try and save your damn lives, and you're going to be fighting your entire life to stop us
addendum: you are not smart
ReplyDelete