The global warming priests have presented no evidence that
the process they claim causes "global warming"
exists. They just illogically claim that any
increase in what they call the "global average
temperature" can only result from carbon dioxide in
the atmosphere.
Paul Homewood has reported on questionable manipulation
of temperature data used to calculate this global average
temperature. Anthony Watts has documented problems
with temperature data for several years on his blog.
The controversy over the accuracy of the data can be viewed
as much ado about nothing because the so-called global
average temperature "is thermodynamically as well as
mathematically an impossibility,
says Bjarne Andresen, a professor at The Niels Bohr
Institute, University of Copenhagen, who has analyzed this
topic in collaboration with professors Christopher Essex
from University of Western Ontario and Ross McKitrick from
University of Guelph, Canada."
"It is impossible to talk about a single temperature for
something as complicated as the climate of Earth", Bjarne
Andresen says, an expert of thermodynamics. "A
temperature can be defined only for a homogeneous system.
Furthermore, the climate is not governed by a single
temperature. Rather, differences of temperatures drive the
processes and create the storms, sea currents, thunder, etc.
which make up the climate".
"While it is possible to treat temperature statistically
locally, it is meaningless to talk about a a global
temperature for Earth. The Globe consists of a huge number
of components which one cannot just add up and average."
Even if the concept of a global average temperature was
meaningful, the method of determining it is too primitive to
produce a valid average. Instead of using hourly
temperatures, they just use the high and low temperature
which may not be representative of temperatures during the
day. For example, the arrival of a strong
cold front late in the day can make the low temperature
significantly lower than temperatures during the rest of the
day.
Even social scientists have moved away from using broad
averages because such averages cover up too much
information. For example, social scientists look
at the number of people in various age groups instead of the
average age. The number of homes with children
or with one adult or two adults is used rather than the
average household size which always ends up with a fraction
of a person. In the last presidential election
people talked about the 3% in one income group and the
percentage that didn't pay any income tax instead of the per
capita income.
A third problem with the climate shaman's obsession
with temperatures is that although a temperature decrease
would disprove the claim of global warming, a temperature
increase would not prove that CO2 was
responsible. The global warming preachers
routinely commit the logical fallacy "post hoc
ergo proper hoc". I learned that
basic logic concept in high school English class. The global
warming fanatics either didn't learn about the fallacy or
don't understand that the fact that A follows B doesn't
necessarily mean A causes B.
With their simple minded view of the situation they blithely
assume that any temperature increase could only be a result
of an increase in CO2. They seemingly cannot
understand that they must provide evidence that an increase
in CO2 would cause any temperature increase. They
ignore the fact that other factors are known to be able to
increase air temperature.
The teracalories of heat human activity generates each day
would be the most likely cause of any temperature increase
that wasn't caused by an increase in the sun's output.
Each teracalorie is capable of raising
the temperature of a trillion grams of water by 1 Celsius.
A teracalorie would raise the temperature of about
4-5 trillion grams of dry
air 1 C.
Except in desert and tropical areas, most of the time the
human body has a higher temperature than the air.
Automobile engines and other human technology generate
sufficient heat to boil water. Many types of air
conditioning systems remove heat from the interior of
buildings and transfer it outside where it heats the outside
air. Some of the heat used to warm the interiors of
buildings in cold weather leaks out and heats the outside
air.
Friday, September 25, 2020
Much Ado About Nothing -- The Global Average Temperature Debate
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